After Barnes won an all but uncontested U.S. Senate Democratic primary in August, the lieutenant governor led Johnson by 7 percentage points in Marquette polling. Legal Statement. Mandela Barnes on Tuesday. Mandela Barnes offers his state's votes to nominate former Vice President Joe Biden as the Democratic nominee for president at the 2020 Democratic National Convention at the . The margin of error for the poll's likely voters sample is plus or minus 4.8 percentage points. The latest Marquette Law School poll also found the race for governor has tightened in the pivotal battleground state. That was still the case in the law school's final pre-election poll, which found 43 percent of those surveyed had a favorable opinion of Johnson and 46 percent had an unfavorable view. In 2016, Trump secured just 46.5 percent of Wisconsin's votes. The June poll by Marquette Law School showed that Biden's approval rating is deep underwater with Wisconsin voters, which could bode poorly for Democrats in November. Powered and implemented by FactSet Digital Solutions. Mandela Barnes concedes US Senate race to Republican incumbent Ron Johnson, Evers has a slight lead over Michels in Wisconsin governor's race, per Marquette Law School poll, Ron Johnson calls for annual approval of Social Security, Medicare funding, Mandela Barnes to Milwaukee Rotary: Ron Johnson is a 'threat to the stability of this country', La Crosse Sheriff's captain denies endorsing Mandela Barnes in US Senate race, Madison Common Council eases limits on unrelated people renting homes together, From grocery store shelves to restaurant menus, food prices 10 percent higher than a year ago, Report: Inflation Reduction Act could bring over 24K jobs to Wisconsin over next decade, Evers proposes $750M for broadband expansion amid massive federal investment in high-speed internet, Evers proposes $3.8B in state building projects, Landowners sue Lac du Flambeau tribal leaders to reopen roads blocked for a month, Supreme Court candidate Janet Protasiewicz says she'd recuse herself in cases involving state Democratic Party, State lawmakers try again to allow DACA recipients to become police officers in Wisconsin, Dairy groups call new federal guidance for labeling plant-based milk alternatives a 'double-edged sword', Wisconsin Educational Communications Board. Johnson has outperformed polls before, but political experts note added challenges this election cycle. But, you know, I'm not going to declare victory until all the numbers are in. 2023 by Wisconsin Public Radio, a service of the Wisconsin Educational Communications Board and the University of Wisconsin-Madison. Notably, the margin of error was 4.5 percentage points. | Morry Gash/Associated Press. President Biden had a narrow victory in the state in 2020 after former President Donald Trump won it in 2016. If Barnes were to win, he'd become Wisconsin's first Black senator. With 98.91% of the vote in, Johnson had 50.5% . "The votes are in," Johnson said in an email. Wisconsin's GOP senator, Ron Johnson, will face off against state Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes in November. Editor's note: WPR's Jonah Chester, Joe Schulz and Andrea Anderson contributed reporting to this story. U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., left, and his Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes shake hands before a televised debate, Friday, Oct. 7, 2022, in Milwaukee. Johnson also holds a 2-point lead over Barnes in favorability ratings among likely voters, with 46 percent saying they have a favorable opinion of the Republican and 44 percent saying the same. Johnson also holds a 2-point lead over Barnes in favorability ratings among likely voters, with 46 percent saying they have a favorable opinion of the Republican and 44 percent saying the same of the Democrat. In the states race for governor, Democratic Gov. Barnes enjoyed a 4-point lead over Johnson if the election were held today among all registered voters, and a 2-point lead in favorability. Barnes sought to portray himself as a stronger advocate of the state's working-class citizens. In the race for U.S. Senate, Democrat Mandela Barnes is supported by 51% and incumbent Republican Sen. Ron Johnson is the choice of 44%, while 1% say "neither," 3% say they don't know and 1% decline to answer. The two candidates are scheduled to hold their second and final televised debate on Thursday. Wisconsin Mandela Barnes (D) vs. Ron Johnson (R) What do the House races . 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This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. While Johnson has outperformed polls before, political experts note unique challenges this election cycle. In a general election match up, Mandela beats Ron Johnson by 2 points, more than any of his opponents. But I just want to give you guys the sense that this race is over.". The Wisconsin Senate race is a virtual toss-up, with Republican Sen. Ron Johnson edging Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes within the margin of error in a Marquette University Law School poll. Wisconsin Governor Tony Evers is a Democrat who won the office in 2018. Michels may have made gains among likely independent voters from September's poll, with 44% now saying they supported him and 43% saying they supported Evers. Morry Gash/Associated Press Barnes' lead disappeared after Johnson's campaign and Republican groups went on the attack with negative ads. Reach her at caitlin.yilek@cbsinteractive.com. Mandela Barnes, CBS News is projecting Johnson the winner. C-SPAN, an acronym for Cable-Satellite Public Affairs Network, is an American cable television network that offers coverage of federal government proceedings and other public affairs programming via its three television channels (C-SPAN, C-SPAN2 and C-SPAN3), one radio station and a group of. Vote preference includes those who say they are undecided but who say they lean toward a candidate. Ron Johnson and Mandela Barnes in tight Senate race in Wisconsin CBS News Battleground Tracker poll. Barnes, who in 2018 was elected as lieutenant governor on a ticket with Democratic Gov. Both politicians were backed by 43 percent of likely voters. making false or misleading claims about the shots, Johnson has hired one of Wisconsin's 10 fake electors, most expensive election contests in the country, settle the abortion issue via a direct referendum, Bernie Sanders endorses Mandela Barnes for US Senate, Ron Johnson calls for annual approval of Social Security, Medicare funding, Democratic Lt. Gov. Barnes made an early bet to run as a progressive and largely did not move to the center. Mandela Barnes, CBS News is projecting Johnson the winner. A spokesperson for Johnson's campaign told Wisconsin Public Radio they "don't put much stock in public polls.". The poll from Marquette Law School suggests Johnson, a. Mandela Barnes is leading in recent polls against the pro-Trump senator, whose positions on abortion and same-sex marriage, as well as . Although Wisconsin's primary won't take place until August 9, Barnes, who was already leading in the polls, is all but guaranteed to secure the Democratic nomination. Barnes, 35, has seen his chances of unseating Sen. Johnson shrink by the day as crime becomes the central focus of their Senate race In response, Johnson said he would like to see Wisconsin's 1849 abortion ban changed to allow exemptions for instances of rape and incest. Voters in Wisconsin grade President Biden's performance, criticize and defend him on top issues, Gavin Newsom attacks federal judge overseeing California's assault weapons ban: 'This sickens me', NRSC launches funds to give Republican Senate candidates a 'war chest' for key 2024 Senate races, House Republicans slam DOD's 'unacceptable' delay in providing answers on improper release of military records, Biden admin rolls out cybersecurity strategy aimed at thwarting borderless cyber threats, ransomware. Johnson's win reaffirmed the Wisconsin GOP's strength in its suburban and exurban heartlands. Barnes to overcome his 27,374 vote deficit. Ukraine News. Business; Politics; Military; Elections; Law; Immigration; Technology. For an optimal experience visit our site on another browser. He trails narrowly among White voters, getting a similar share of them that Biden got in 2020. Lt. Gov. But Johnson got a majority of support from voters who thought COVID-19 restrictions in the state were too strict. Mandela Barnes, clashed on crime and Jan. 6 as they tussled during their first debate on Friday.. Moderator and veteran newscaster . Most young men are single. You've successfully subscribed to this newsletter! The U.S. Senate race in the battleground state of Wisconsin is among closely watched contests on the national scene as Republicans hoped to gain seats in the U.S. House and Senate. U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson is increasing his lead over Lt. Gov. We want to bring transparency to the elections process by shining a light on how campaigns and outside groups are using political mailers to talk to voters. After midnight, the gap between Barnes and Johnson closed slightly and the audience in Neenah became less energetic. "He's not in a place, in terms of his favorability and unfavorability numbers, where an incumbent senator would want to be," Chergosky said. "There is no path mathematically for Lt. Gov. The poll, whose results were released on Wednesday, has Johnson racking up support of 52 percent of likely voters, compared with Barnes 46 percent. Eran Ben-Porath contributed to this report. "Barnes is really going to have to execute a strong strategy of defining himself positively and pushing back against an enormous amount of negative campaigning that is already coming his way and will surely only escalate between now and Election Day," Chergosky said. 2023 by Wisconsin Public Radio, a service of the Wisconsin Educational Communications Board and the University of Wisconsin-Madison. 'The most vulnerable Republican incumbent' The Barnes strategy is to define Johnson as a changed man, someone who went to Washington as an insurgent candidate but then enmeshed himself into the. Wisconsin GOP Sen. Ron Johnson defeated Democratic Lt. Gov. For weeks, Wisconsin Republican Senator Ron Johnson and his allies have been running a set of attack ads against Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes about crime.One ad focuses on violent crime . A central Wisconsin food pantry grew fivefold during the pandemic. U.S. Senate candidates Mandela Barnes and Ron Johnson sparred over a wide range of issues - everything from decriminalizing marijuana and immigration to the minimum wage, abortion and crime - during their first debate leading up to the 2022 fall midterm election.. Barnes to overcome his 27,374 vote deficit. Mandela Barnes - Feb 1st, 2022 Re-election Bid Just the Latest Lie From Ron Johnson - A . According to OpenSecrets, Johnson raised $31.5 million, spent $28 million, and had $3.5 million in cash on hand, as of October 19. There is no path mathematically for Lt. Gov. He said the August polling results from multiple sources show him "this is a very competitive race and Democrats have a compelling opportunity to unseat Ron Johnson.". Prior to several outlets projecting him as the winner, Johnson, who will now serve his third six-year term, said in a written statement that the corporate media refused to call a race that is over. Anna Moneymaker/Gabriela Bhaskar/Getty Images, Everyone Practices Cancel Culture | Opinion, Deplatforming Free Speech is Dangerous | Opinion. "So, I think that's what I'm watching most.". All rights reserved. Approximately 50% of likely voters said they support Johnson in the race, compared to 48% for Barnes, according to the Marquette poll of 679 likely voters. Johnson leads with men and older voters.. . In Wisconsin 's Senate race between Republican Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic Lt. Gov. Fully 50 percent of voters said the statement "does not describe" the senator, and just 39 percent said it described him correctly. On the presidential level, Wisconsin has voted for the Democratic nominee in every election from 1988 to 2020 except for 2016, when Trump narrowly defeated former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton in the Badger State. Ron Johnson (R-WI) and his Democratic challenger, Lt. Gov. Baldwin was first elected to the Senate in 2012 and took office in January 2013. Heres how you can help. Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic challenger Lt. Gov. TrendRadars. Marquette's August survey had a margin of error of plus or minus 4.2 percent. At Johnson's election night watch party in Neenah, the crowd was in high spirits throughout the evening giving loud cheers as they watched Fox News election coverage of the race. Among the slightly larger sample of 802 registered voters, Johnson maintains 48% support versus Barnes' 45% support. His campaign focused heavily on promises to protect abortion rights and Social Security benefits. Barnes was supported by 46 percent of registered Wisconsin voters, and the senator was backed by just 44 percent. Johnson has downplayed the violent insurrection at the U.S. Capitol that day on Jan. 6, where Trump supporters assaulted Capitol police officers as they tried to stop Congress from certifying President Joe Biden's 2020 victory. or redistributed. Mandela Barnes speaks at a rally for Jacob Blake Jr., who was paralyzed in a police shooting last year, in Kenosha, Wis. Barnes is leading in the Democratic primary to replace Republican Sen. Ron Johnson. Besides Mandela and Ron, Gov Tony Evers, a nominee from the Democratic Party, and . But there are key differences this year, said Chergosky. Incumbent Republican Sen. Ron Johnson is widening the gap over his Democratic challenger, Mandela Barnes, in Wisconsins Senate race, a new poll from Marquette Law School found. Johnson promised to be a "citizen legislator" and serve just two terms. . The Marquette Law Poll was conducted from Oct. 24 to Nov. 1 via landline and cell phone. Johnson did not respond to the Pulse's request to participate in the questionnaire. Sign up for notifications from Insider! The results are a jump from September, when polls showed Johnson polling just 1 percentage point ahead of Barnes, but are still within the surveys margin of sampling error. Currently, Wisconsin voters cannot change laws by direct referendum. The CBS News/YouGov poll was released on Sunday. The Republican incumbent had a slight lead in the closing weeks of the campaign, with a CBS News poll from October showing him with a one-point lead over Barnes, though other polls showed Johnson with a larger lead. Above left, Johnson departs from the Senate chambers on July 21. Mandela Barnes were locked in a race that was too close to call early Wednesday. As Johnson opened a lead, it sent the Republican incumbent's supporters into a frenzy. The Democratic candidate hasn't found a way to respond to Senator Ron Johnson's attacks on crime, and is foundering in the polls as a result. "But what I will say, unfortunately, it's still so close. According to exit polls, nearly equal shares of voters in Wisconsin mentioned honesty and integrity as the most important candidate quality (36%) as sharing values with voters (35%). Barnes raised nearly $34.6 million, spent $32 million, and had almost $2.6 million in the bank, as of October 19. What it boils down to, according to University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee emeritus professor Mordecai Lee, is "we should all just agree that this is an even race. Market data provided by Factset. The Nov. 8 election is a little more than two weeks away, and we're wrapping up our coverage of the candidates . Barnes has citedformer President Barack Obama as his inspiration for entering politics. A CBS News poll in October found that Johnson's views on the 2020 election may be alienating some independents and Republicans who believe Johnson wanted the election overturned. Mutual Fund and ETF data provided by Refinitiv Lipper. The Wisconsin Senate candidate Mandela Barnes speaks at a rally on Saturday in Milwaukee. Johnson won his first Senate race in 2010, unseating Democratic Sen. Russ Feingold. The man leading the charge to unseat Johnson this year is the polar opposite of the millionaire Boomer conservative: Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes, a 35-year-old Black former community organizer. "Of course, we've said that before," Chergosky said. Show us your political mailers! Evers and Michels will face off on Friday for their only televised debate. On the other hand, Mandela Barnes said he agreed to be a part of the debate anchored by the Main Street Alliance and the Wisconsin Farmers Union because the group commonly lines up with the democrats. Johnson built a small lead in most polls over Barnes though within the margin of error after he began relentlessly focusing on crime, and his victory suggests the strategy worked. Those results weren't far off from a Marquette University Law School poll on Aug. 17, showing Barnes beating Johnson 51 percent to 44 percent among likely midterm voters. Barnes led Johnson 49.4 percent to 47.1 percent. They pointed to a CBS News poll from over the weekend showing Johnson ahead . In September, Evers led among independents 45% to 39%. their first televised debate, held on Friday, discussing, have hammered Barnes and other Democratic candidates, What we learned from the NBC News Fetterman interview, Midterm elections roundup: Arizona debate debacle, California poll: Homelessness is most urgent issue in the state. One percent of respondents said they would vote for neither candidate and 1% said they were undecided. Johnson is running for reelection to a third term, while Barnes hopes to topple the GOP. Hungry? Democrats had initially been hopeful that they could oust Johnson, who was increasingly defined by headlines over his statements on issues such as abortion, his perpetuation of dubious and unproven Covid treatments, and his ties to the Jan. 6 riot and fake elector plot to help throw the 2020 election to then-President Donald Trump. ", Sen. 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